086790

하나금융지주KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
20.47%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.50%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.36%P25: -2.41%P50: 0.00%P75: 4.18%P95: 12.11%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.