086790

하나금융지주KR04/29/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
10.29%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.27%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.09%P25: -2.93%P50: -1.64%P75: 0.22%P95: 3.20%

Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.