086790

하나금융지주KR04/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.08%
P05–P95 span
15.26%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.24%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.60%P25: -0.28%P50: 2.08%P75: 4.06%P95: 9.66%

Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.