086280

현대글로비스KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.92%
P05–P95 span
17.86%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.93%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -14.71%P25: -4.50%P50: -0.92%P75: 0.72%P95: 3.15%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.