079550

LIG넥스원KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+4.79%
P05–P95 span
32.63%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.35
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-12.84%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.00%P25: 0.00%P50: 4.79%P75: 17.50%P95: 27.63%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.