078930

GSKR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-4.25%

P05–P95 span

16.66%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.67

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-3.15%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

4/10(40%)

Below median

6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.66%P25: -8.71%P50: -4.25%P75: -0.89%P95: 4.00%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.