071320

지역난방공사KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.54%
P05–P95 span
15.92%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-0.71%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
1/6(17%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.78%P25: -1.08%P50: 1.54%P75: 4.76%P95: 10.14%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.