071320

지역난방공사KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-2.65%
P05–P95 span
16.45%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-0.28%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
6/9(67%)
Above median
6/9(67%)
Below median
3/9(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.61%P25: -4.00%P50: -2.65%P75: 0.99%P95: 7.84%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.