Insights / kr
071320
지역난방공사KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.97%
P05–P95 span
20.19%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.38%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.92%P25: -5.63%P50: -0.97%P75: 1.24%P95: 7.27%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.