Insights / kr
071320
지역난방공사KR05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.44%
P05–P95 span
12.27%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.99%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.40%P25: -2.05%P50: -0.44%P75: 1.60%P95: 4.87%
Computed at: 05/13/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.