Insights / kr
071320
지역난방공사KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.46%
P05–P95 span
22.35%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.90%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.33%P25: -2.08%P50: 0.46%P75: 3.74%P95: 15.02%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.