Insights / kr
071320
지역난방공사KR04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.20%
P05–P95 span
17.66%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.77%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.18%P25: -6.18%P50: -2.20%P75: 0.00%P95: 5.47%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.