Insights / kr
071320
지역난방공사KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.24%
P05–P95 span
16.77%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.53%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
10/10(100%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.89%P25: -2.70%P50: 0.24%P75: 2.89%P95: 7.88%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.