071050

한국금융지주KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.38%
P05–P95 span
21.96%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.68%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.80%P25: -4.11%P50: -0.38%P75: 2.25%P95: 13.16%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.