069960

현대백화점KR06/04/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.81%
P05–P95 span
21.94%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+36.07%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
4/4(100%)
Below median
0/4(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.06%P25: -2.67%P50: 0.81%P75: 3.88%P95: 14.88%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.