Insights / kr
069960
현대백화점KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.33%
P05–P95 span
14.03%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+23.72%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.66%P25: -6.29%P50: -2.33%P75: 0.00%P95: 4.37%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.