069960

현대백화점KR05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.12%
P05–P95 span
16.46%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.85%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.73%P25: -0.19%P50: 1.12%P75: 6.39%P95: 12.73%

Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.