069960

현대백화점KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.01%
P05–P95 span
8.30%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.84%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -0.42%P25: 0.80%P50: 2.01%P75: 4.81%P95: 7.88%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.