069960

현대백화점KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
13.22%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+17.45%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.57%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.20%P75: 2.36%P95: 6.65%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 23.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.