069620

대웅제약KR04/22/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.16%
P05–P95 span
15.74%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.03%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.18%P25: -2.97%P50: -0.16%P75: 2.70%P95: 7.56%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.