052690

한전기술KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.39%
P05–P95 span
15.63%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.03%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.59%P25: -1.27%P50: 0.39%P75: 3.69%P95: 9.04%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.