052690

한전기술KR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.90%
P05–P95 span
16.83%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.18%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.97%P25: -1.98%P50: 0.90%P75: 3.59%P95: 10.86%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.