051600

한전KPSKR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+3.03%
P05–P95 span
11.81%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-3.33%
Outer 90%
1/6(17%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
0/6(0%)
Below median
6/6(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -0.95%P25: 0.97%P50: 3.03%P75: 4.67%P95: 10.87%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.