Insights / kr
051600
한전KPSKR04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.17%
P05–P95 span
15.32%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.46%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -1.58%P50: 0.17%P75: 2.54%P95: 8.21%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 22.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.