047810

한국항공우주KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.14%
P05–P95 span
21.21%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-21.83%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.59%P25: -4.11%P50: -0.14%P75: 4.40%P95: 11.61%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.