047810

한국항공우주KR05/11/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
16.36%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.59%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.73%P25: -4.59%P50: -1.64%P75: 1.29%P95: 5.63%

Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.