047810

한국항공우주KR05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.96%
P05–P95 span
31.55%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.20%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.14%P25: -1.69%P50: 1.96%P75: 5.55%P95: 24.41%

Computed at: 05/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.