047050

포스코인터내셔널KR04/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
13.52%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.94%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.84%P25: -1.41%P50: -0.23%P75: 1.53%P95: 10.69%

Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.