Insights / kr
047050
포스코인터내셔널KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.67%
P05–P95 span
39.05%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.22
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.90%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.38%P25: -6.74%P50: -1.67%P75: 2.52%P95: 18.68%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.