Insights / kr
047040
대우건설KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.85%
P05–P95 span
12.35%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.54%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.77%P25: -4.48%P50: -1.85%P75: 1.06%P95: 4.57%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.