Insights / kr
047040
대우건설KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.62%
P05–P95 span
32.82%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.34
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+27.88%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -17.56%P25: -5.19%P50: -0.62%P75: 3.30%P95: 15.26%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 6.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.