042700

한미반도체KR04/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.41%
P05–P95 span
21.07%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+20.78%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.83%P25: -3.90%P50: -1.41%P75: 1.38%P95: 12.24%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.