Insights / kr
042660
한화오션KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.51%
P05–P95 span
21.62%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.24%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.91%P25: -0.35%P50: 2.51%P75: 7.09%P95: 18.70%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.