Insights / kr
042660
한화오션KR04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.05%
P05–P95 span
9.16%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.31%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -0.83%P25: 1.24%P50: 2.05%P75: 3.58%P95: 8.33%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.