Insights / kr
042660
한화오션KR04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.95%
P05–P95 span
23.70%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.33%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.36%P25: -7.48%P50: -3.95%P75: -0.51%P95: 5.34%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 11.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.