Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
24.35%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-12.55%
Outer 90%
5/9(56%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.35%P25: -3.64%P50: -0.49%P75: 3.16%P95: 15.00%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.