Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.23%
P05–P95 span
17.08%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.61%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.42%P25: -2.94%P50: -0.23%P75: 3.40%P95: 9.66%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.