Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.52%
P05–P95 span
13.13%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.98%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.59%P25: -2.29%P50: 0.52%P75: 4.00%P95: 7.54%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.