Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
20.52%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.67%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.63%P25: -2.70%P50: 0.88%P75: 4.05%P95: 14.89%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.