Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.79%
P05–P95 span
14.74%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.78%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.03%P25: -3.35%P50: -0.79%P75: 1.30%P95: 4.71%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.