Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.69%
P05–P95 span
42.61%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.15
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.37%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.95%P25: -1.04%P50: 4.69%P75: 17.04%P95: 38.67%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.