Insights / kr
039490
키움증권KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.31%
P05–P95 span
37.81%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.24
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+8.21%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.02%P25: -4.64%P50: -1.31%P75: 3.02%P95: 27.78%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.