Insights / kr
039130
하나투어KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.31%
P05–P95 span
11.42%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-1.71%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.67%P25: -2.20%P50: -0.31%P75: 1.58%P95: 4.75%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.