Insights / kr
039130
하나투어KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.27%
P05–P95 span
16.60%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-8.73%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
1/9(11%)
Below median
8/9(89%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.21%P25: -3.98%P50: -1.27%P75: 0.80%P95: 5.39%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.