Insights / kr
039130
하나투어KR04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.33%
P05–P95 span
19.03%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.08%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.92%P25: -1.09%P50: 0.33%P75: 2.97%P95: 13.11%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.