Insights / kr
039130
하나투어KR04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.71%
P05–P95 span
23.67%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.31%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.85%P25: -9.02%P50: -3.71%P75: -0.42%P95: 7.82%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.