036570

엔씨소프트KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-3.92%
P05–P95 span
23.24%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-10.81%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -18.14%P25: -8.47%P50: -3.92%P75: 0.59%P95: 5.10%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.