036570

엔씨소프트KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.68%
P05–P95 span
16.41%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.89%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.36%P25: -3.45%P50: -0.68%P75: 2.05%P95: 7.05%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.