036460

한국가스공사KR04/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.18%
P05–P95 span
31.33%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.13%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -13.65%P25: -1.25%P50: -0.18%P75: 3.12%P95: 17.68%

Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.