Insights / kr
035720
카카오KR06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.17%
P05–P95 span
40.92%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.18
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
-4.73%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
0/4(0%)
Below median
4/4(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.65%P25: -2.22%P50: -0.17%P75: 1.67%P95: 28.27%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.